Dữ liệu Chỉ số người quản trị mua hàng (PMI) ngành sản xuất và dịch vụ của S&P Global sẽ được công bố vào thứ 6. Các chỉ số PMI của S&P Global sẽ được những người tham gia thị trường theo dõi chặt chẽ và có thể có tác động đáng kể đến tâm lý rủi ro. Đồng Đô la Mỹ có thể hưởng lợi từ những con số giảm không?
Dưới đây là những thông tin bạn cần biết vào thứ 6, ngày 21 tháng 4:
Đồng Đô la Mỹ tiếp tục di chuyển chủ yếu đi ngang. Dữ liệu kinh tế yếu hơn dự kiến của Mỹ đã đè nặng lên Đồng bạc xanh, sau đó được hưởng lợi từ sự sụt giảm giá cổ phiếu ở Phố Wall. Chỉ số Dow Jones mất 110 điểm, tương đương 0,33% và Nasdaq giảm 0,80%. Lãi suất trái phiếu chính phủ Mỹ giảm từ mức cao hàng tuần, với lãi suất trái phiếu kỳ hạn 10 năm ổn định ở mức 3,53%, mức thấp nhất trong ba ngày.
US S&P Global PMIs Preview: Win-win situation for the Dollar? Why investors may get spooked
Bộ Lao động Mỹ thông báo Số đơn xin trợ cấp thất nghiệp lần đầu đã tăng lên 245.000 trong tuần kết thúc vào ngày 15 tháng 4, trong khi Số đơn xin trợ cấp thất nghiệp tiếp tục tăng 61.000 trong tuần kết thúc vào ngày 8 tháng 4 lên 1,865 triệu, mức cao nhất kể từ tháng 11 năm 2021. Một báo cáo khác cho thấy hoạt động sản xuất ở khu vực Philadelphia bất ngờ bị thu hẹp vào tháng 4. Dữ liệu của Fed tại Philly đã giảm xuống -31,3 từ 23,2 vào tháng 3, so với mức kỳ vọng là tăng lên -19,2. Doanh số bán nhà có sẵn giảm xuống 4,44 triệu (tỷ lệ hàng năm) so với kỳ vọng là 4,5 triệu.
Báo cáo cuộc họp tháng 3 của Ngân hàng Trung ương châu Âu (ECB) cho thấy nếu không có cuộc khủng hoảng ngân hàng, ngân hàng trung ương sẽ phát đi tín hiệu quyết tâm thắt chặt chính sách tiền tệ hơn nữa. ECB có vẻ sẽ tăng lãi suất hơn nữa vào tháng 5, nhưng quy mô vẫn còn bỏ ngỏ. EUR/USD tiếp cận 1,1000 và sau đó quay trở lại vùng 1,0950 khi cặp tiền tệ này tiếp tục đi ngang. Vào thứ 6, báo cáo quan trọng là chỉ số PMI của S&P Global tại Khu vực đồng Euro. Nhiều quan chức ECB sẽ có bài phát biểu.
GBP/USD đã ghi nhận mức đóng cửa hàng ngày khác gần 1,2440 vì vẫn được hỗ trợ bởi đường trung bình động giản đơn 20 ngày. Cặp tiền tệ này tiếp tục tích luỹ, không thể tiếp cận lại 1,2500. Vương quốc Anh sẽ báo cáo Doanh số bán lẻ vào thứ 6.
USD/JPY giao dịch gần 135,00 nhưng sau đó chuyển sang giảm, chạm mức 134,00 trong bối cảnh lãi suất trái phiếu chính phủ trên toàn cầu giảm. Tuần tới, Ngân hàng Trung ương Nhật Bản (BoJ) sẽ có cuộc họp chính sách tiền tệ đầu tiên dưới thời Thống đốc Ueda. Cuộc khủng hoảng ngân hàng gần đây và những bình luận từ thống đốc mới đã làm giảm bớt kỳ vọng về những thay đổi trong lập trường chính sách tiền tệ. Nhật Bản công bố dữ liệu lạm phát
NZD là một trong những đồng tiền hoạt động kém nhất vào thứ 5 do dữ liệu lạm phát của New Zealand. Chỉ số giá tiêu dùng (CPI) tăng 6,7% trong quý I, so với kỳ vọng là 6,9%, thấp nhất kể từ quý IV năm 2021. Tại cuộc họp vừa qua, Ngân hàng Dự trữ New Zealand (RBNZ) đã tăng lãi suất cơ bản (OCR) thêm 50 điểm cơ bản, gây bất ngờ cho những người theo lập trường diều hâu.
NZD/USD chạm đáy ở mức 0,6148, mức thấp nhất trong một tháng, sau đó phục hồi về 0,6200 do đồng Đô la Mỹ yếu hơn. EUR/NZD đạt mức đỉnh kể từ tháng 10 năm 2020 trên 1,7800, trong khi AUD/NZD lần đầu tiên vượt qua 1,0900 kể từ tháng 2.
Đồng Đô la Úc tăng vào thứ 5. AUD/USD đạt mức đỉnh sáu ngày tại vùng kháng cự 0,6770 và giảm trở lại. Xu hướng ngắn hạn là tăng mà không có nhiều rào cản. Tâm lý rủi ro được cải thiện có thể giúp ích cho cặp tiền tệ này.
USD/CAD tiếp tục tăng cao hơn và đạt mức cao hàng tuần tại 1,3489 trước khi suy yếu đà tăng. Sự điều chỉnh giảm có thể xảy ra trừ khi cặp tiền tệ này vượt qua đường trung bình động giản đơn (SMA) 20 ngày ở mức 1,3487 và mốc 1,3500. Doanh số bán lẻ của Canada sẽ được công bố vào thứ 6.
Vàng tăng được hỗ trợ bởi lãi suất trái phiếu thấp hơn, leo lên trên 2.000$/oz. Bạc đi ngang quanh mức 25$. Bitcoin lại giảm hơn 3%. BTC/USD đứng ở mức 28.250$, vẫn đang chịu áp lực. Những lo ngại về suy thoái kinh tế càng đè nặng lên giá dầu thô, vốn đã giảm hơn 2%. WTI rớt về mức 77,00$, chạm mức thấp nhất kể từ cuối tháng 3.
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